3 losses out of 3 Super Matches…Suwon’s last “chance to escape the river” or “the moment of the end of the second part of the crash.”
It’s a ‘last chance’ and a ‘defining moment’ for Suwon Samsung.
Suwon will play FC Seoul in the 32nd round supermatch of the Hana OneQ K League 1 2023 at 4:30 p.m. on Nov. 25 at Seoul World Cup Stadium. Suwon is in 12th place with 29 points (7 wins, 8 draws, 21 losses), while Seoul is in 7th place with 54 points (14 wins, 12 draws, 10 losses).
Suwon is in a tight relegation battle with 11th-place Gangwon FC (30 points) and 10th-place Suwon FC (32 points). All three teams are fighting to stay out of the 12th spot, which is the automatic relegation spot without a relegation playoff (PO).레모나토토 도메인
For last-place Suwon, the match against Seoul is their de facto last chance to avoid 12th place. The Super Match is a clincher because Gangwon and Suwon FC are playing on the same day and at the same time.
If Suwon loses to Seoul and Gangwon defeats Suwon FC, the standings will be as follows: Gangwon (33 points), Suwon FC (32 points), and Suwon (29 points). In the final round, if Suwon wins against Gangwon and Suwon FC loses to Jeju United, both Suwon and Suwon FC will have 32 points.
However, Suwon is at a disadvantage in the ranking system.
After points, the K League ranks teams based on goal differential, not goals scored. Suwon currently has 34 goals, while Suwon FC has 43. With only two games left, there is a gap of nearly 10 goals between the two teams, making it difficult to overturn the standings.
In the end, the best case scenario for Suwon would be for Seoul to win and then Suwon FC to beat Gangwon. In that case, Suwon FC (35 points), Suwon (32 points), and Gangwon (30 points) would be the finalists.
Suwon will need to overcome their biggest rival, Seoul, to achieve their best ‘what if’ scenario.
Suwon have lost both Supermatches against Seoul this season. The first match, played in Sangam, resulted in a 1-3 defeat. The next two matches were played at Suwon’s home ground, where they lost 0-1 to Willian and Illyucheko respectively.
To make matters worse, this is Seoul’s final home game of the season, and it’s already set to be a crowd record celebration.
Seoul has played 18 home games this season, drawing 394,022 fans. The average attendance is a whopping 21,890. If only 5,978 fans attend the game against Suwon, the club will surpass 400,000 paid fans for the first time in K League history.
The record is already in the bag. On the first day of ticket sales for the supermatch, 25,000 tickets were already sold, virtually guaranteeing a total attendance of 400,000. Seoul is looking to break the 400,000 paid attendance mark at home against rival Suwon.
For Suwon, it’s their last chance, and the Super Match could be the final nail in the coffin of a potentially devastating relegation battle.